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Chapter 2 of 5

Negotiation

The Art of Diplomacy

The negotiations for the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) began in earnest in the Kenyan capital of Nairobi, a neutral venue chosen to facilitate open dialogue between the Government of Sudan and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A). The talks were mediated by the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), with significant involvement from the ‘Troika’—the United States, the United Kingdom, and Norway—who provided diplomatic and technical support. The involvement of these international actors underscored the global interest in resolving the Sudanese conflict, which had resulted in an estimated two million deaths and displaced over four million people by the time negotiations commenced.

At the negotiation table, the Government of Sudan was represented by Vice President Ali Osman Taha, a seasoned politician known for his pragmatic approach. On the other side, the SPLM/A delegation was led by John Garang, a charismatic leader with a vision for a unified yet equitable Sudan. Both leaders were pivotal in steering the discussions, often engaging in direct dialogue to break deadlocks. Their leadership was crucial, as both had to manage internal factions within their respective groups that were skeptical of the peace process.

The negotiations were structured around key thematic areas: power-sharing, wealth-sharing, security arrangements, and the status of contested regions such as Abyei, Southern Kordofan, and Blue Nile. Each area presented its own set of challenges, requiring careful balancing of interests and concessions from both sides. The power-sharing agreement stipulated that the SPLM/A would hold 28% of the national government positions, while the National Congress Party (NCP) would hold 52%, and other northern and southern parties would share the remaining 20%. This arrangement was designed to ensure that southern interests were represented in the national government while maintaining a degree of stability.

One of the most contentious issues was the distribution of oil revenues. Sudan’s oil fields were predominantly located in the south, yet the infrastructure for refining and exporting oil was controlled by the north. The SPLM/A demanded a fair share of the oil wealth to fund development in the south, while the government was reluctant to cede control over such a vital resource. Ultimately, the parties agreed that oil revenues would be split equally between the north and south, a provision that was seen as a significant concession by the government and a victory for the SPLM/A.

Debates over power-sharing were equally intense. The SPLM/A sought significant representation in the national government to ensure that southern interests were adequately protected. The government, however, was wary of diluting its power and faced internal opposition from hardliners who viewed any concession as a threat to national unity. The power-sharing arrangement also included the establishment of a Government of National Unity, which was tasked with implementing the CPA and preparing for national elections.

Security arrangements posed another critical challenge. The integration of SPLA forces into the national army was a complex process, requiring trust-building measures and assurances of mutual respect. The parties had to agree on a timeline for demobilization and the establishment of joint integrated units to maintain peace. The CPA outlined a six-year interim period during which the SPLA and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) would form Joint Integrated Units (JIUs) as a symbol of unity and cooperation.

Throughout the negotiations, there were moments of deadlock and frustration. However, breakthroughs were achieved through shuttle diplomacy and the personal intervention of international mediators. The presence of the Troika was particularly influential, as they provided guarantees and incentives that encouraged compromise. For instance, the Troika offered economic aid and development assistance as part of the peace dividends that would follow the successful implementation of the CPA.

The talks culminated in the signing of several protocols, each addressing specific issues. The Naivasha Agreement, signed in May 2004, was a significant milestone, outlining the framework for a permanent ceasefire and the modalities for implementing the CPA. The agreement also included provisions for a referendum on southern independence, which was scheduled to take place at the end of the six-year interim period.

The final round of negotiations saw intense discussions over the timing and conditions for a referendum on southern independence. The SPLM/A insisted on a clear timetable, while the government sought assurances that the process would be fair and transparent. The CPA stipulated that the referendum would be conducted under international supervision, with the United Nations playing a key role in monitoring the process to ensure its credibility.

On January 9, 2005, after nearly three years of negotiations, the Comprehensive Peace Agreement was signed in Nairobi. The ceremony was attended by regional leaders and international dignitaries, marking the end of a long and arduous journey towards peace. The signing of the CPA was a testament to the power of diplomacy and the willingness of adversaries to seek common ground. It was a moment of hope, signaling the possibility of a new era for Sudan, free from the shackles of war.

The CPA had far-reaching implications for Sudan and the broader region. It set a precedent for resolving internal conflicts through negotiation and compromise, rather than military confrontation. The agreement also highlighted the importance of international involvement in peace processes, as the support and pressure from the Troika and other international actors were instrumental in reaching a settlement.

In the years following the signing of the CPA, the agreement faced numerous challenges in its implementation. The interim period was marked by tensions and occasional violence, as both sides struggled to adhere to the terms of the agreement. The referendum on southern independence, held in January 2011, resulted in an overwhelming vote in favor of secession, leading to the establishment of South Sudan as an independent nation on July 9, 2011.

The CPA’s legacy is mixed. While it successfully ended one of Africa’s longest-running civil wars and paved the way for South Sudan’s independence, it did not address all the underlying issues that fueled the conflict. Tensions between the north and south persisted, and new conflicts emerged in the border regions and within South Sudan itself. Nonetheless, the CPA remains a significant achievement in the history of Sudan, demonstrating the potential for negotiated settlements to bring about peace and change.